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Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social

Interesting paper by @sgehlbach.bsky.social, @chrisblattman.bsky.social and Yu. Even though Trump is definitely trying to build the personalist type, I suspect that even if autocracy manages to consolidate in the US, it will be a more institutionalized variety… www.nber.org/papers/w3409...

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

The Personalist Penalty: Varieties of Autocracy and Economic Growth

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social

In the end, Trump is too old, and I don’t see anyone else with the requisite charisma. He won’t have time to consolidate a fully personalistic regime, I think…

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  1. filipecampante.bsky.social profile picture

    Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social

    And in that sense, the Biden interregnum was still important. Interrupting the authoritarian takeover attempt for four years could end up making a big difference, when the would-be authoritarian was old to begin with…

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    @doubleohkevin.bsky.social

    Agreed. Hard to consolidate power at 79 and with a decreasing 40% as the economy collapses.

    I keep thinking too about this Epstein stuff. The global right has aligned under Trump - what happens to that movement if the patriarch is heavily implied to be a pedophile?

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