I'm awfully pessimistic about the Roberts Court, so I think they could find some way to let Texas keep its gerrymander—for example, have to let it go ahead while it's litigated—but I bet approving TX's while striking down CA's is too much, even for them. Well, maybe not Alito, but for a majority.
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If prop 50 hadn’t passed otoh…
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SCOTUS has been chipping away at the Voting Rights Act for some time. Texas just gives them another chance to chip some more.
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I'm awfully pessimistic about the Roberts Court
In 2025 I cannot understand your POV. GOP SCOTUS is made up of awful people who not only will do awful things but who have ALREADY done awful things.
Also - they're going to pervert the law and the constitution so Trump can get a 3rd term.
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But there were 2 different redistricting systems--just a legislature enactment in TX, but a voter referendum in CA. Is there any history of striking referendum redistricting?
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There was a clear path to letting the Texas gerrymander go forward while staying California's: The independent state legislature theory.
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Alito and Thomas. Their entire purpose now is to implement whatever MAGA wants.
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I can see the Court saying:
Texas' new map can stay because it was done far enough from the election while California's can't because it's too close to the election.
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It never pays to underestimate the venality of the Six Injustices.
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Especially because California was approved by votes and Texas wasn’t.
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@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social @kenwhite.bsky.social Theory: they’ll find a technicality to delay CA juuuust long enough.
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Of course they will uphold the gerrymander. This is not even a question. What planet are you from?
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I wouldn't bet on it.
The Roberts' cabal has tortured and twisted the Constitution too often to even hope they'll do the right thing.
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It certainly helps that Texas went out of its way to say that it wasn‘t redistricting for partisan purposes, just redistricting to create majority-Hispanic districts. (Hoe generous of them.).
My impression is that CA has been up front about partisan intent, which makes their plan more defensible.
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I’d be surprised if they didn’t stay or strike down the CA one at this point. you start with alito and Thomas in the bag for any gop position. Hard to imagine John Roberts not interfering with voting or election stuff. 2 of the other 3 is not a high bar to clear. It will likely be 6-3.
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I don't think anything is too much for this court
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I doubt they strike down California's map but I could see them fast tracking a Texas case and letting them use their map while slow rolling CA while a stay is in place and eventually ruling it's fine but too late to use for 2026.
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Maybe. I never thought I could lose so much faith in the Supreme Court.
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Alito stay crazy
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maybe too much for Sammy (though I doubt it), definitely not for Clancy. perfect for Johnny's shadow docket.
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This is where they dispense with the last vestiges of propriety. They will all be replaced in 2029.
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And Thomas. Gotta keep those luxury vacations flowing in.
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Alito may wear an upside-down flag pin to the oral arguments.
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Roberts doesn’t believe racial gerrymandering exists. There is only partisan gerrymandering that has the incidental but totally legal and very cool effect of increasing white voting power at the expense of minority voting power.
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I distinctly remember that a few years back (before the Trump nominations), in the same term, they determined that when a red state imposed lying about abortion to doctors, it's legitimate government interest 1/2
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They're fighting a supernatural battle against Satan, so yeah they'll find a way to justify literally anything in service of that.
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Pass that hopium over here!
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Roberts has spent his legal career destroying the VRA! So, yeah, I’m pessimistic too!
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I dunno. That's putting a awful lot of faith in Gorsuch and Comey Barrett
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Definitely not too much for Alito.
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Alito and Thomas will side with Texas for sure
