Trump did a lot of terrible things in his first term but was also constrained by his own administration in a way that gave a lot of people the expectation that he was going to be similarly constrained from his worst impulses this time

unfortunately he came in prepared to obliterate the guardrails

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  1. I don't know who thought that. He is literally doing everything that he said he would do this time except for release the list of names

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  2. I don't blame Trump. He told everyone explicitly what he was going to do and he is doing it. I blame the people who voted for him running on a Nazi platform laid out in a well documented manifesto because they couldn't stand America not being a whites-only country. This is all on them. All of it.

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  3. During the campaign if you predicted (accurately) what he’s doing now his angry supporters would sneer “he didn’t do that last time - you have tds!”

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  4. I think the supreme court decision on presidential immunity is also playing a big part in how much he thinks he can get away with. I knew as soon as that decision came down that all the guardrails would be gone if he won

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  5. probably unpopular opinion: I think it's far less important that Trump face justice for his crimes against the country than folks like Noem and Homan do

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  6. I feel like I anticipated a lot of what’s happening but I always thought the upper ranks of the military would start pushing back once he starts rounding up journalists and opposition politicians. I did not anticipate him creating a new, entirely loyal civil army for that purpose.

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  7. He spent the first term finding the guardrails.

    Then spent the Biden years finding people specifically to dismantle every one of those guardrails he found.

    Turns out his first term was quietly so out of control he found most if not all of them.

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  8. I was trying to tell anyone who would listen—leftists saying it’d be no different this time—that it would be. He had Supreme Court immunity, knew to hire only toadies, has a more supine GOP (to confirm the toadies), & had preparations in Project 2025. I didn’t foresee the institutional capitulation.

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  9. a big factor is he wasn’t prepared to win the first time! he didn’t have a plan, he didn’t have staffing, he was reliant on institutional republicans for a lot of it

    this time he had four years to purge the party of anyone who would stand in his way and staff up entirely from fascist sycophants

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