Gotham take 11.8 shots/90. Spirit have allowed more than that in three out of the fifteen NWSL matches Adrian has managed. Once was against Utah and once was in the PK shootout against Louisville.

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In short, I think this should be a good matchup. Depending on how much one values managers - of which data tends to be skeptical - my instinct is that the Spirit are better positioned than some of the full-season and momentum-considered models suggest. By no means, though, is this scientific.

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