Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵

Racial Resentment Among White Americans by Birth Year and Demographics

This figure presents the same four-panel layout (education, gender, geography, religion) but for White Americans from birth years 1940 to 2000.

Education panel: A pronounced divide shows non-college Whites with substantially higher resentment across all cohorts, increasing sharply for older birth years. College-educated Whites rise more modestly but remain distinctly lower, especially among younger cohorts.

Gender panel: Male and female trendlines rise together, with women slightly higher in mid-century cohorts. Younger cohorts of both genders start lower and climb with age.

Geography panel: Regional lines separate clearly: the South is highest in resentment, followed by the Midwest. The West and Northeast show lower levels, with the Northeast consistently at the bottom. All regions slope upward toward older cohorts.

Religion panel: Protestants show the highest resentment, peaking among mid-century cohorts. Catholics sit in the middle. Non-affiliated Whites show the lowest resentment, especially among younger respondents, with a small rise among mid-century generations.

The figure notes CES 2024 data with GAM-smoothed trendlines.

Replies

  1. Interesting that rates for college educated and no religiously affiliated are lower across all age cohorts. Says something about the value of education and the lack of value of religious affiliation.

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  2. This matches my experience interacting with wonderful Gen Z people every day. Glad to see I’m not crazy.

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  3. Sounds like cope and pandering horseshit given how Gen Z swung towards Trump vs. 2020.

    Trump is openly racist, sexist and fascist.

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  4. Now is the perfect time to end our own special brand of apartheid. None of us are free or empowered unless we all are. Remove the barriers now.

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  5. Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice also claimed Dems should ignore, deflect and overgeneralize when asked about trans people, too.

    They're called centrist billionaire funded DC think tanks and consultants.

    It's a losing strategy for all of us.

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  6. Yup. Gaslighting 101 from these people always. Always with the "don't talk about race" while the folks at The Top keep making laws that make it about race. Smh.

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  7. Also. I’ve been a Dem for decades. And if your retreating on racial justice. You’re not a dem. You’re a piece of shit.

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  8. Establishment Democrats realize that if they let the young'uns win on racial and trans justice, the next step will be financial justice and all their wealthy backers will start to feel the pinch.

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  9. Could be these results indicate age not generation. That is, levels of racial resentment might change as people age. IE would you have gotten similar results 10 or 20 years ago?

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  10. Maybe ask men about gender resentment. Then, you can say something about red-pilled males. Not before. Thems the facts. I don't make them.

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  11. All my 20 something grandchildren have multi ethnic friends. Just saying . . .

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  12. They are trying to cater to demographics that are sewn up because "young people don't vote", rather than giving young people an option they'd vote for (see: Mamdani, Zohran).

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  13. Who's recommending that Dems retreat on racial justice? And what policies or platform points would that involve?

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  14. In most of my friend groups of fellow Gen-Zers I’m still on speaking terms with, Trump is about as popular as cancer. Enough of the Overton Window endlessly ratcheting to the right.

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  15. Winning blueprint for Dems next 2 cycles: treat 2024 as a turnout problem, stop chasing “Biden Republicans,” go loud on abortion, democracy, wages & housing, and pour money into year-round local organizing that turns Gen Z & working-class nonvoters into regular voters. Charismatic male P/VP can's.

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  16. If a graph is going to be titled “by birth year”, then putting earlier years on the right is either incompetence or deliberately misleading. If what they want to convey is “by age”, do that.

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  17. These charts feel backwards fwiw

    Confused til I zoomed in to see younger is left. My mind assumes we'd see the trend shifting toward tolerance over time, left-ro-right

    Excellent data regardless!

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  18. 2/🧵 New piece with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social in @NewRepublic: We analyzed 60,000+ respondents in the 2024 Cooperative Election Study. Gen Z has the lowest racial resentment of any generation. The generational shift overwhelms the education divide that supposedly defines modern politics.

    Stop panicking: They are the most progressive generation ever, especially on race. If that surprises you, you’ve been listening to the wrong story.

    The Shocking Truth About Gen Z Voters Is That They’re Pretty Great

    Stop panicking: They are the most progressive generation ever, especially on race. If that surprises you, you’ve been listening to the wrong story.

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  19. Thanks for writing this!

    Millennials + Gen Z will be 54% of eligible voters in 2028. Dems need young voters in order to win, and the most effective way to boost youth turnout is to nominate the candidate that young people are most excited about. Nothing else is as effective.

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