I disagree. The US has been on this path for a long time, even if the person leading the way wasn't always Trump.
BygoneBegotRisk
@bygonebegotrisk.bsky.social
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I wonder if the United States has itself been closer to the edge a few more times than we realize, and the history books don't really emphasize it.
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Does Chile count? It took decades...
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This kind of thinking makes a lot of sense to me but it hasn't predicted market moves in... decades?
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I always wonder how much the reliance on polling is an excuse by Democratic lawmakers who just don't want to do anything and how much they really believe it's the end-all-be-all...
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Kitchen table issues like the ones Zohran Mamdani is talking about? Oh wait, not THOSE kitchen table issues...
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Which would make sense, because there won't be 'ongoing' tariff increases...
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I thought the smart money was saying that there would essentially be a one-time price increase due to tariffs, not ongoing price increases.
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Perfect. Those words the consultants say Dems should stop using? They don't use them. Republicans use them... in the process of saying that Dems use them.
Ok - so I'm going to do a real context+write up but for now, here's what some of these things look like.
To start my data reference is DCinbox which is ~208,000 official e-newsletters over the past 15 years.
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I've heard that this is the historical average lifespan of a democracy 👌
