To be fair there was also a pre-draft stage before I got to this one.
Katie Finlayson
@learnwhatyoulive.bsky.social
1509 Followers
1855 Following
Home educator, data nerd, home ed exams specialist, Chair of Governors and one time computer programmer. Expect eclectic thoughts.
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You too! It is usually my luck to be scheduled against all the talks I want to see most though.
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I feel like this has consumed most of the last few weeks, but my slides for ResearchEd are almost done...
(Until I do an actual run-through and decide I need to rewrite it all, of course. But let me enjoy the moment.)
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(Old People is mostly shlock horror but the initial setup is the interesting part here, as it explores a significantly unbalanced demographic and how grim that ends up looking, particularly for the old people involved.)
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Yes - but that's where the exponential thing comes in, get significantly below replacement rate and one turns into the other more quickly than you'd expect! (Unless the prospect leads to a reversal in fertility rate, ofc, which is very possible.)
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I think it depends on whether the replacement rate stabilises at some future point. Exponential falls kick in quickly as well as exponential increases. Our society would function significantly differently with far fewer people in it.
Though see also eg Children of Men, and Old People.
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In practice picking up the pieces at GCSE is too late and better foundations earlier on is far more effective. But it’s belt and braces - you need both.
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And the north-east has some really good college programs that could do this (maybe already do). As a region they have the best 14-16 home ed programs (which is a similar type of offer) - at one point 30% of home edders in the NE attended one which is much higher than anywhere else.
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A thing I like the idea of - which is sort of the flip side to this - is a catch-up year between GCSEs and post-16 where GCSE subjects can be resat and/or key subjects focused on or picked up. Because a problem of holding back is that then you fall out of CSA and funding a year ‘early’.
