Moreover, using panel data from the UK (@britishelectionstudy.com), I examine policy preferences of three voter types:

1️⃣Regular voters: they vote consistently 2️⃣Peripheral voters: they vote intermittently 3️⃣Perpetual non-voters: they almost never vote

They differ in their policy preferences. 8/10

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When turnout is low, the electorate reflects regular voters' preferences.

Higher turnout brings peripheral voters into the mix and reduces this bias.

Perpetual non-voters also differ, but they are usually a smaller group, so they introduce less bias overall.

9/10

Replies

  1. So what's the takeaway?

    ✅Good news: Voters and non-voters usually share similar policy preferences.

    ⚠️Bad news: When turnout is low, even small differences can introduce bias.

    🗳️Overall: Low turnout isn't always a disaster for this specific question, but it is far from ideal.

    10/10

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