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Erica Groshen

@ericagroshen.bsky.social

1273 Followers

115 Following

Economist, Sr. Econ Advisor at Cornell -ILR. 14th Commissioner of BLS. Formerly at NY & Cleveland Federal Reserve Banks. Now in Seattle!

  1. The BLS appointment is for a 4- year fixed term. She has >2 years left before the President could appoint the next one. Fixed terms are for Technical and professional jobs, intended to span Presidential terms & be nonpartisan. These aren’t appointees who serve at the pleasure of the President.

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  2. "The BLS uses the same proven, transparent, reliable process to produce estimates every month."

    I hope the market takes note. The future data should be called into question now that it is politicized.

    The Friends of #BLS protest the firing of BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer.

    The rationale for firing her is without merit and undermines the credibility of federal economic statistics that are a cornerstone of intelligent economic decision-making by businesses, families, and policymakers.

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  3. "We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure."

    #econsky #statistics #data #datascience #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #infrastructure

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  4. Am Econ Assn speaks out about firing the #BLS Commish.

    "It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as [better] data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor--not failure or bias."

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  5. It has been the honor of my life to serve as Commissioner of BLS alongside the many dedicated civil servants tasked with measuring a vast and dynamic economy. It is vital and important work and I thank them for their service to this nation.

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  6. Why do the jobs numbers get revised?

    our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months

    1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly

    Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N

    www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...

    The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the
businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)
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  7. What to make of POTUS's attempt to fire the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)?

    Let's run down what knowledgable people are saying...

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