dbmain.bsky.social profile picture

DB Main

@dbmain.bsky.social

146 Followers

274 Following

Bell Labs Distinguished Member of Technical Staff Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent

That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games. She's a beautiful enigma

I keep a VanLife Blog here: https://dbmain.substack.com/

  1. AI is now capable of designing a record-breaking deep sea submersible on its own. This marks a new age of exploration and I encourage all my fellow AI champions to build one and get in it so they can celebrate this achievement from the bottom of the sea.

    89
  2. The Smartless guys were saying Horror is the only genre that reliably draws people to theatres. It HAS to be the communal experience, along with the big screen and darkness. But what happened to the communal experience of comedy and laughing together?

    0
  3. To recap: You posted an article that claims Starlink hacked the voting machines. I say "no, starlink didn't have the machines". You reply "Who said anything about starlink, tinhat"? I say, "Um, you did?" Two questions:

    1. Why did you repost it?
    2. Are you off your meds?

    0
  4. That one link I provided about the Law of Large Numbers specifically addressed one of ETA's problems.
    Here's another broader critique of their work. There's also another good discussion on a statistician message board I will try to located. bsky.app/profile/r5-t...

    0
  5. "the down ballot wins on those swing states by Democrats has never happened" It's nonsense. It happened to Kari Lake in her AZ gubernatorial race. Down ballot did much better than her. It's why the AZ Senate and House are Republican with a Democratic governor.

    0
  6. Regarding the specific claims here. First of all, there are manual recounts of a statistically significant number machine tabulated ballots done in GA, AZ, PA, NC, OH.

    bsky.app/profile/my3r...

    Thank u. Can you explain all the statisticians’ findings claiming it is a statistical impossibility for Trump to have won all 6 swing states by the exact margins needed to prevent a recount and that the down ballot wins on those swing states by Democrats has never happened in the history of voting?

    1
    1. They don't understand a basic statistical law. That election results were noisy at first and then just converged at certain levels isn't evidence of an algorithm: It's evidence of "Law of Large Numbers".
      This guy did a beautiful job of dissecting it.
      bsky.app/profile/trev...

    🧵 A group called "Election Truth Alliance" claims they found statistical proof that the 2024 election was rigged. Their analysis has spread across social media.

    I rebuilt their analysis from scratch. What I found: They don't understand basic statistics.

    Play with the data yourself:

    Play with the data yourself: Interactive analysis debunking statistical claims about the 2024 election with live data visualizations

    The Fraud Behind Claims of Election Fraud

    Play with the data yourself: Interactive analysis debunking statistical claims about the 2024 election with live data visualizations

    1