Changing the jobs report to be quarterly instead of monthly doesn't solve the problem of needing to wait for revisions. You can do a monthly jobs report 90 days in arrears to solve that if you want. But putting a report out in April for Q1 will still need to be revised. Weirdos.

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  1. They either don’t understand that and thus are incompetent and unqualified, or they do know and they’re intentionally misleading the country

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  2. Just like all their numbers the rig and numbers don't like people do it can be found out and it will be

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  3. Monthly indicators allow us to make market corrections more quickly. More frequent data provide better trend information.

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  4. Monthly report, but based on revised data over the last three months.

    There are issues with that, but that's probably the most likely explanation.

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  5. They believe the best way to deal with the Stagflation his idiot policies are creating is to make it statistically disappear

    If you don't report the weak or negative job growth, and the CPI has been cooked to show no inflation, then, there's no Stagflation

    Problem solved!

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  6. They're hoping that by then maybe we will have forgotten all together those pesky job reports.

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  7. It’s kinda the forever Trump playbook though, eh? Always always always delay everything forever when the facts are annoyingly unhelpful

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  8. It’s so easy when you just write in whatever numbers you want w/a sharpie

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  9. Also, the fed uses those job numbers as an input into their rate-cut decisions. The market is expecting a rate cut in September but the fed can’t do a damned thing without those job numbers.

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  10. So how long to wait for revisions of the quarterly? At least 30 days. But to make it 100% accurate, just use the June 30th, 1965 unemployment figures since those have been revised up the ying-yang but the current inflation figures are useless in making hiring and plant & production decisions.

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  11. They could do it semi-annually, it isn't going to change anything.

    Everyone knows the economy is shrinking because of Trump's tariffs, as companies pull back investments and prepare for the worst.

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  12. jc-82.bsky.social profile picture

    They can't do a proper job of "redoing the methodology" in 3 months much less write the code to do it in such a short time.

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  13. If the Trump administration doesn't release accurate numbers or doesn't release numbers at all, what happens to all the people who depend on COLA adjustments for income raises?

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  14. Time to cook the books- same way his accountant, Allen Weisselberg did Trump Org for half century!

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  15. They’re just gonna stop telling us anything about how they’re dismantling this country.

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  16. A quarterly report wouldn't need as much revision as monthlies would

    Remember, 'current' data are estimates. The 'seasonally adjusted' numbers assume that an average August is, well, average

    When something happens (e.g., covid, tariffs), numbers need time to be re-evaluated

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  17. It usually takes them a year to tell us we were in a recession. By the time they announce it they say "but we're in recovery now". So they're going to tell me three months later I've been laid off? Data that old is useless. This is so Venezuela.

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  18. In other news, can the inflation numbers today be trusted given how very desperate Trump is to change the subject? Many people are asking.

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  19. They do not understand the purpose of the job report. With reporting every three month (if they do not cancel it) will make the report a lagging indicator. It would be useless then.

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  20. Trump admin abhors abiding by the law but 29 U.S. Code § 2 - Collection, collation, and reports of labor statistics The Bureau of Labor Statistics shall also collect, collate, report, and publish at least once each month full and complete statistics of the volume of and changes in employment,

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  21. It’s the same as promising to release something ā€œin two weeksā€. ā€œConcepts of a jobs report.ā€

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  22. Well, larger sample size will be less variable. But the noise is reduced, not eliminated.

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  23. Federal employment stats may be required quarterly, but employment stats are sent to the state, monthly. Perhaps there are journalists who will gather state employment stats. šŸ¤·ā€ā™€ļø

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  24. Quarterly numbers might not even hit a monthly number of jobs created if they keep this shit up. Let's see if the media can remember to clarify the difference

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  25. Probably also.. less and less pedophile nazis able to do anything resembling decent work.

    All the actual smart people left. Everybody that remains is using nazi biased ai, chatgestapo, and copy pasting forms from last decade...

    Every brown lady they stole ideas from.. got dei fired.

    Embarrassing

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  26. The only thing it does is make the volatility spike that occurs around the event much much larger now that it has to account for three months instead of one month. There will be a larger shock load creating larger spikes. This makes it worse.

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  27. These are the incompetent nepo hires who have coasted their whole lives, never had to work a real job where they were actually accountable for results or had to know how things worked internally. So of course, they have no fucking idea how to get results or make improvements. They're imbeciles.

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  28. Q: What bad happens? A: Increase interest rates AND Increase deficit.

    Directionally: term premia up, intra-quarter rate volatility up, liquidity down ⇒ slightly higher average borrowing costs for the Treasury (and, by extension, mortgages and corporate debt priced off the curve). Why? (THREAD)

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  29. But there won’t be revisions to the false data. It’s a more sophisticated version of what they have done for years. Like throwing a rock in the river, more time makes the lie fall deeper into the water as a permanent addition, and the ripples die. They just bought 3 extra months for the deception.

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  30. I don't know if I can wait a whole quarter to find out how Great we're doing.

    I'll read it while in line on the poster of the unemployment office. Then I can go back to my cardboard box and celebrate by rummaging through a dumpster.

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  31. Compiling comprehensive data from a vast number of sources takes time. If you want it to be more timely, it's going to be less accurate, will need to use estimates and require revisions. Or you get more accurate data, it'll be out much later. No other way to make it happen. Thats how it works.

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  32. If they froze #s at the end of the month, it still catches up to the lies.

    When we have no idea what is going on, we will all be told that this is the good life.

    I've never had to worry about food before. This is not the good life.

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  33. Yeah he thinks it will make him look good. Look at that idiot who was showing him Biden’s revised numbers for the last two years. These MAGA ass kissers will do whatever they can to stroke Trump fragile ego.

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  34. I wouldn't expect them to put out any corrections/revisions, since the numbers they'll be putting out, after they're vetted by tRump/Miller/Bannon/whoever, are guaranteed to be 100% accurate (and I do have a bridge to sell....).

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  35. A good start would be to end the process of reporting ESTIMATED numbers and go with FACTS. Less chaos in the markets and less opportunity for market manipulation.

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  36. It can help them obscure comparison with the historical numbers and delay the bad news of Trump’s administration.

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  37. I don't think the cadence it's issued will matter moving forward because it will all be rigged. For real this time.

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  38. We're going to totally lie and make up the numbers, but that only takes 3 weeks of work to do that, which only leaves one week for vacation, how do we fix this situation. Wait, I got an idea!!

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  39. Cause he doesn't want to also lose his job.If he reports the numbers correctly Trump will fire him too so he wants to put it off a few monthsšŸ™„

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  40. When you intentionally put out false information why would you need to revise it?

    When F47 says he's lowered drug prices 1500% then doubles down, when he says gas is $1.99, when he says "two weeks" over and over, when he says he's not on Epstein's claims he won in 2020 there are no revisions.

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  41. Gives them a couple of months to figure out how to fudge the data, they'll fail then too and stop reporting it eventually because we'll be in the greatest depression, greater than the great depression, then comes civil war 2.0, hopefully because Im tired of living in a #FascistNaziDictatorship

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  42. "Kicking the can down the road" Trump policy. "It's coming in two weeks". "I can't tell you now...but soon. Gives them time to make up the next lie.

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  43. I thought the same thing. It would make more sense to put out a jobs report 30 or 45 days after the month ends but they want more time to screw with the data.

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  44. Yes. It’s probably not a good idea to place people who don’t think things through in jobs that require thinking things through.

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  45. Well execpt that there is an actual law that requires the jobs report be reported monthly. And only by an actual of Congress can that be changed.

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  46. It will definitely give extra time for trump henchmen and their friends and families to strategize a much better inside trade strategy. No need to hedge when you know what the number will be. And everyone knows that hedging kills profits.

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  47. Goddamn it Delaware! Those fucking numbers are too high, Give us lower numbers or we'll send ICE in to arrest your goddamn staffers!

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  48. They’re just buying more time to cook the numbers. šŸ¤·ā€ā™€ļø

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  49. It won't have to be revised if you just make up the numbers you want and type them into the report. Voila! Perfect on the first try!

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  50. The Pedo Prez loves to polish Knobs and Turds! Cases flying to Putin for Knobs and 3 out of 4 job report Turds!

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  51. It’s ā€œlook over here, not over thereā€, while they take the sledgehammer to another foundation of honest governance.

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  52. Watch the treasury markets there’s been a flight away from central banks already and it will get worse. Unreliable data will exacerbate this more. Is their goal to destabilize the dollar and move to crypto? www.reuters.com/markets/euro...

    As debate rages around 'de-dollarization' and the world's appetite for dollar-denominated assets, one major cohort of overseas investors appears to be quietly backing away from U.S. securities: central banks.

    Foreign central banks are shrinking US asset exposure

    As debate rages around 'de-dollarization' and the world's appetite for dollar-denominated assets, one major cohort of overseas investors appears to be quietly backing away from U.S. securities: central banks.

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